Those of you familiar with your current health care costs
will see this as a great deal, particularly for older folks who need a lot more
care than the rest of us. That’s
the problem, though, the deal is too good, as we’re not paying enough to cover
all the costs. Medicare deficits
are driving our country’s finances into the hole in a big way.
Our payroll taxes (1.45% for you, another 1.45% for your
employer) cover only about one third of Medicare’s cost. Premiums and
copayments paid by our seniors cover another quarter. The difference,
about 40%, our government borrows, increasing our deficit. This year,
that deficit is about 285 billion dollars, and will keep rising as health care
costs skyrocket, particularly for those needing expensive end-of-life
treatments and care.
There are three main ways to deal with this deficit – (1)
limit payments to doctors, hospitals, and pharmacies; (2) limit how much the
government pays for the insurance itself; or (3) raise premiums and payroll
taxes. Medicare currently uses
option (1), but would have to reduce payments even more radically to balance
their books. Doctors are already
turning away Medicare patients because they can get higher payments from
younger people. Further payment
reductions would mean fewer doctors available to our seniors, and likely
rationing of care.
Republicans are proposing option 2, opening Medicare up
to private insurers and setting a cap on the government contribution to the
premiums. The hope is that private
insurers would compete with traditional government Medicare (which seniors
could still choose), reducing premiums.
This seems overly optimistic though, since a similar plan – the Federal
Employees Health Benefits (FEHB) program - has seen its costs rise by a total
of 30% over the past 4 years. The
Republican proposal would have capped its premium contribution by only 15% over
that time. Our seniors would need
to either eat that difference, or choose a cheaper, weaker health plan.
Option 3 is the simplest, and may make the most sense.
Doubling the 1.45% payroll tax would just about cover our current budget
overruns. However, our politicians
never have the backbone to tell us that tax increases are necessary, even when
they are.
Whether we give our premiums and copays to the government
or to a private company, some means of addressing the real problem – holding
down the costs of medical care in our country – is necessary. This means limiting malpractice awards
and capping allowable profit margins at insurance agencies, pharmaceutical
companies, and hospitals. Combine
that with modest increases to taxes and premiums, along with raising the
Medicare eligibility age, and Medicare will be on sound footing again. Democrats and Republicans have both
suggested these ideas in the past.
Now it just takes bargaining and compromise to fix Medicare, something
that's been in short supply in Washington lately.
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